Trump launched a failed war on Iran for Israel last February, as his NSC director and Secretary of State Marco Rubio admitted. Now, the war has come home.
Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz became a vice grip around the neck of Trump and the GOP, especially in the heartland, where diesel prices are 70% higher than a year ago, and farmers have been forced to leave crops in the ground. 74% of Americans told pollsters the failed Iran war was a crucial or major factor in their vote tonight, and over 60% said they were voting against the Republicans because of it.
Democrats won a Senate seat in Kansas for the first time since 1932. They also flipped a seat in Iowa, which Trump won by 12 points in 2024, giving them control of the senate.
A Democrat has taken the seat of Lindsey Graham, the late neocon who advised Netanyahu on how to manipulate Trump into the war, resoundingly defeating his sister in South Carolina. In this deep red Southern bastion, a Democrat has not won a senate race since the days of Fritz Hollings, a now-extinct brand of conservative populist who opposed the Gulf war and railed against the neocons.
Trump's promise of $15 billion in aid to farmers getting hammered by surging diesel costs failed to stop the bleeding. And it's now another cost of the war.
The GOP strategy of hanging Hasan Piker and his pro-Palestine politics like an albatross around the neck of Democrats was also doomed from the start, as most swing state voters had never heard of the podcaster. Worse, the ploy reminded them how fanatically Israel-centric the Republicans had become under Trump. The Democrats had much more success weaponizing Jeffrey Epstein as a symbol of Trump's corruption whose ghost subtly invoked malign Israeli influence over the US government.
Trump: "If people ever got tired of me in the US, I'll move to Israel and become prime minister" pic.twitter.com/AfVG7YYoVe
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) November 3, 2026
"If people ever got tired of me in the US, I'll move to Israel and become prime minister."
Where the "special relationship" with Israel was once a matter of bipartisan unity among party elites, it's become a polarizing wedge issue and a poison pill for any president. Trump was expected to launch a third assault on Iran immediately after the midterms, but his inner circle is now positioned in a circular firing line, with the neocons who served as Netanyahu's proxies – Mark Levine, Mark Dubowitz, Ben Shapiro et al – blaming everyone but themselves for the Blue Wave, while pleading to remain in Trump's good graces.
Tomorrow, Zionist forces will pull back and retrench. Schumer, Jeffries and presidential prospects like Josh Shapiro will become their next line of defense, and possibly their last reliable one in a party whose base is now passionate about ending America's attachment to Israel.
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