Sunday, 15 June 2025

DANIEL HAYWORTH: Israel’s strike on Iran is decisive, but (probably) not World War III


The specter of global war is overstated; this is a regional conflict, not a prelude to apocalypse.

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Last night Israel executed a sweeping and meticulously planned airstrike on Iranian nuclear and military targets, marking a significant escalation in the long-standing shadow war between the two nations. The operation began around 3:30 am local time, with over 200 Israeli fighter jets targeting over 100 key targets across Iran. 

These sites included the Natanz nuclear facility, the Arak heavy water reactor, the Parchin military complex, and missile production sites near Tehran and Tabriz. Massive explosions rocked Tehran's main command headquarters of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Iran's most powerful military force. By 4:15 am, the Natanz site, central to Iran's uranium enrichment program, was heavily damaged. 

The strikes killed Iran's top three military officials, including the IRGC commander, and six leading nuclear scientists, according to Iranian reports. Israel's Air Force, leveraging impeccable intelligence, faced no significant resistance, with Iranian air defenses and missile systems also destroyed in the assault. 

In a televised address, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu justified the strikes, stating, "Moments ago, Israel launched Operation 'Rising Lion', a targeted military operation to roll back the Iranian threat to Israel's very survival. This operation will continue for as many days as it takes to remove this threat."

Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons was undeniable. Its enrichment of uranium to near-weapons-grade levels were becoming a clear and present threat to Israel as a nation. The scale and precision of Israel's operation have already largely neutralized that threat. 

Far from sparking World War III, this strike has left Iran crippled, its leadership decimated, and its nuclear ambitions severely set back. Iran's military and scientific elite were wiped out in a single night, exposing the fragility of a regime that has long projected strength through bluster and proxies. 

Israel's ability to penetrate Iran's defenses with such ease suggests that Tehran is not the impenetrable fortress some claimed. In the coming days, Israel is likely to continue targeting key infrastructure, further dismantling Iran's capacity to project power. Thankfully, all of this was done completely without the involvement of the United States, which further cements Israel's place as the most lethal military in the region.

President Trump responded to the attacks with support for Israel and highlighting Iran's failure to make a deal. "I gave Iran chance after chance to make a deal. I told them, in the strongest of words, to 'just do it,' but no matter how hard they tried, no matter how close they got, they just couldn't get it done." 

Trump's earlier presidency offered Iran a pathway to de-escalation through economic pressure and negotiations, but the mullahs rejected it. Even now, Trump has hinted at a possible reconsideration, but Iran's leadership, steeped in ideological rigidity, is unlikely to swallow its pride and engage. Instead, Iran will probably retaliate with limited, symbolic strikes that fail to significantly harm Israel. 

Their launch of over one hundred drones last night was immediately intercepted by Israel with no life lost. Tehran will continue acts like these and then claim a hollow victory to save face domestically, but the damage to its strategic capabilities will be undeniable.

The United States has and should remain uninvolved in this conflict. Israel has demonstrated its ability to handle its regional security challenges with precision and resolve. These strikes were not reckless; they were a calculated act of self-defense and a defense of national sovereignty against a regime openly committed to its destruction. 

Supporting Israel's right to act does not mean entangling American troops or resources in another Middle Eastern quagmire. The US should let Israel manage its fight, as it aligns with broader Western interests in curbing Iran's hostile influence.

As tensions rise, it's critical to keep cool heads and avoid panic. The specter of global war is overstated; this is a regional conflict, not a prelude to apocalypse. As Christ reminds us, "You will hear of wars and rumors of wars, but see to it that you are not alarmed" (Matthew 24:6). The world has weathered crises before, and this moment calls for clarity, not fear. 

Israel's actions have reshaped the Middle East's balance of power, and while Iran's response will test the region's stability, the path forward lies in cooler heads prevailing. As Jack Posobiec would say, now is the time to "Stay Frosty."

 


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